Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.008055 0.009060 0.010160 0.011453 0.012936 0.014588 0.016573
2025-01-19 0.006264 0.007581 0.009145 0.011150 0.013670 0.016751 0.020837
2025-01-26 0.005394 0.006850 0.008675 0.011156 0.014473 0.018804 0.024967
2025-02-02 0.004968 0.006565 0.008661 0.011652 0.015871 0.021701 0.030528
2025-02-09 0.004451 0.006074 0.008287 0.011574 0.016423 0.023451 0.034674
2025-02-16 0.004092 0.005748 0.008083 0.011681 0.017208 0.025584 0.039640
2025-02-23 0.003719 0.005356 0.007731 0.011511 0.017529 0.027016 0.043663
2025-03-02 0.003489 0.005146 0.007618 0.011676 0.018369 0.029334 0.049454
2025-03-09 0.003232 0.004868 0.007371 0.011595 0.018783 0.030983 0.054299
2025-03-16 0.002919 0.004475 0.006905 0.011104 0.018447 0.031289 0.056720
2025-03-23 0.002732 0.004265 0.006713 0.011045 0.018837 0.032907 0.061834
2025-03-30 0.002678 0.004265 0.006859 0.011574 0.020324 0.036695 0.071810
2025-04-06 0.002449 0.003964 0.006487 0.011176 0.020103 0.037304 0.075529
2025-04-13 0.002260 0.003716 0.006188 0.010886 0.020061 0.038275 0.080241
2025-04-20 0.002137 0.003573 0.006059 0.010891 0.020588 0.040452 0.088014
2025-04-27 0.002096 0.003569 0.006176 0.011374 0.022125 0.044943 0.102028
2025-05-04 0.001980 0.003421 0.006016 0.011298 0.022496 0.046963 0.110431
2025-05-11 0.001898 0.003328 0.005950 0.011402 0.023257 0.049954 0.121892
2025-05-18 0.001789 0.003177 0.005763 0.011236 0.023405 0.051541 0.129940
2025-05-25 0.001727 0.003111 0.005733 0.011397 0.024302 0.055037 0.143983
2025-06-01 0.001643 0.002996 0.005598 0.011318 0.024637 0.057198 0.154671
2025-06-08 0.001523 0.002803 0.005292 0.010841 0.023979 0.056761 0.157535
2025-06-15 0.001455 0.002708 0.005180 0.010783 0.024327 0.058981 0.169084